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Flemington - Caulfield - Moonee Valley - Sandown - Rosehill - Randwick - Warwick Farm- Canterbury - Eagle Farm - Doomben - Morphetville - Cheltenham

 

 

 

Flemington

Exclusive Report 17th May

VRC Upcoming Events

Form Guides (RSB)

Race 3:

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I like The Wolverine here if the track is not rain-affected. Last home he worked home very similar to his second-up performance last campaign. Nothing too flash but the speed favoured those on it, and no suprises the first three cornering were the first three home. I think he's ready to go now and worth following up on. If the track is affected I would focus more on Ballack and Brolago. Both look up to this.

Race 4:

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Selecting one here who should be at odds in Dartbolt. Strange decision to have him run over 1800m first-up, prepared to ignore that given that I think this horse has something to offer second up over 1600m at Flemington. This is his distance range and he's desperate to race at a big track. Tote punters will let him go and I suggest best tote will be the betting option here. Don't have a super high confidence with this tip but I think he's worthy of a speculator. Saliente has had two runs under its belt and should be hitting its straps. Couldn't do any more than last start so expect to be prominent again. And New Spice created a very good impression in his first run on the East Coast. Despite the wide gate and weight looks to be quite hard to beat in this field.

Race 5:

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Most will choose to play here once they have figured out how the track is playing for straight runners. One thing that never changes no matter how they run these 1200m events is that horses that can really turn it on in the back end of a race and can handle further are at an advantage. Enter Sunburnt Land. I quite like him being left at this distance range I think he settles better over the shorter distances than he does over longer. Thought it was a special return to racing and being on the fresh side expecting the explosive finish to still be there. Worth a punt here, even though he's drawn deep would probably prefer them to come down the flatside and have him swoop down the outside of them late. In the Shadows will be hard to beat, big tracks are his forte he looked like a duffer despite being too good last start. He too fits the bill proposed above a horse who possesses a finish and can get further. The well performed Dr Nipantuck and Hanna Rossa shouldn't be far away on recent runs.

Race 7:

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Like the recent performances of Ashante. Hit the line with real zest last start. Only good horses are capable of winning from the tail and he doesn't necessarily have to sit that far back in the run. Think he has a degree of quality and coming off provincial form should be over the odds. You can put the pun through a lot here despite the size of the field. The others that I consider winning hopes include Fifth Avenue Lady and Raeburn. Didn't think I'd be saying that but they are going as good as anything here.

Race 8:

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Hope you had something on Roman's Image in the Wangoom. He nearly got the job done there. While it was a heady ride it was still a good performance at a foreign distance range. I quiet like the low draw despite the fact he tends to get back a little. All those drawn low are go foward horses and those drawn deep tend to get back. So this should then play to horses drawn low with little pressure from out deep. With Hillston Exchange, Caprizzi Strip and the like likely to give good leads, the rider of Roman's Image will be stupid not to work out that a foward racing position will be a successful one. These horses with little to no pressure up foward will provide for a great tag into the race and expect Roman's Image to be right there. I think he took a step up in his performances last campaign (forget the Kilmore Cup run - major track bias to leaders on that day). Again he will be over the odds and worthy of an eachway speculator. Others to consider for quaddies, trifectas etc. inlcude Something Anything (will appreciate a dead surface), Amerryking, Rhombus Lad (really good galloper) and maybe Bird Dancer who looks better placed here than last start over further and around the Valley.

Doomben

Race 6:

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Wow this horse was going to win along way out last start but eventually got the job done on the coast. I speak of Scenic Shot. This horse has a touch of class with a placing in the Turnbull last Spring but again looked as good as ever last start and I think it would be folly not to follow up on it. I think this is distance range too. Despite being a Derby Winner. Trick of Light too is at her pet distance range and from the inside barrier and a track that should suit will be right there. Third best is Stormhill, a galloper that expect to improve with every run.

Race 7:

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There hasn't been a horse in Melbourne that has been as impressive as Vandalo in the last month or two. Let's analyse his last three runs, ran a terrific second to the explosive Electromotive at his first run back and did it under a muck lather of sweat. Then he went to the much suited Caulfield and bulldozed a good field of a great ride. Can't think of many horses who would have beaten him that day. He then franked his class by repeating the dose against similar good opposition with a much bigger weight and having to do it from a wide barrier. I think he is quite impressive and has shown a real zest for racing. Definitely worth following here with such a good barrier. Not really sure for the minors perhaps El Cambio and Apercu.

Race 8:

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Again sticking with one here from the Melbourne ranks in Absolut Glam. Terrific last start before a freshen when was stopped in her tracks following a fall in the race, made a tremendous bid under those cicrcumstances to finsh that close. Before that attempted to chase down the very special Zarita and did fail by much. Spanked them at the Valley and Caulfield prior. I think the barrier here is perfect, and Steve King will be doing everything to keep her out of trouble and saving her for one big thrust at the finish. I think this race will be a typically slowly run quality and racing room will be paramount to launch your runs. I think the likely favourite Helideck is a massive risk from the one barrier so that gives me even greater confidence with Absolut Glam.

 

 

Tim's Top Raters

Race
Horse
M3
The Wolverine
M4
Dartbolt
M5
Sunburnt Land
M7
Ashante
M8
Roman's Image
B6
Absolut Glam
B7
Scenic Shot
B8
Vandalo

 

Ashante is a best bet (eachway)

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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