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The Big Australian Punter presents the late mail and racing preview for the weekend's racing action. Australian Horse Racing from all Australian racetrack. Caulfield, Flemington, Moonee Valley, Sandown in Melbourne. Rosehill, Randwick, Canterbury and Warwick Farm. Eagle Farm, Doomben Racing Tip, horse racing, professional punter. Profit from horse racing.
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Horse Racing Analysis

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Flemington - Caulfield - Moonee Valley - Sandown - Rosehill - Randwick - Warwick Farm- Canterbury - Eagle Farm - Doomben - Morphetville - Cheltenham

 

Moonee Valley

Exclusive Report 25th June

Race 2:

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1. Tan Tat Brav

2. Our Maikai

3. True Persuasion

4. Toluka

 

Brilliant winner at Bendigo on debut. Couple of things I really liked about it's performance there. Seemed to do it within itself to the corner, and that was enough to cook the horse directly outside of it, used the rail well, and when Williams hit a few times I saw an extra gear and great scope in his action. That's enough for me to follow. The fact he has got Moonee Valley 1200m Rail out 7m. He has got a great advantage if he finds the lead. He also has an advantage over the second best horse in the race Luke Nolen, David Hayes combination in the barriers. Well bred too, went for 360K at the sales and his mother has produced the Group 2 Spuruson, and Falbrav has already produced Fravashi. Should go to the lead, roll along and then split them open at the top of the straight. Price will be interesting. 1.75 fixed at the moment. Like to think we will get $2+. $2.20 would be nice.

 

 

Race 3 :

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1. Daka's Gem

2. China Causeway

3. Abitofado

 

Daka's Gem looks hard to beat in this. Good speed in the race, should be able to just run along on the rail and move into it when required. Nice run last start, appreciates this distance and the sting out of the track. China Causeway, is the best horse in the race but is most likely going to have to come from the worst position in this race, last and wide. Things in its favour is a likely reasonable speed and a smart jockey. Abitofado is going well, loves this track. Should be thereabouts on the line.

Race 5:

 

1. Dollops

2. Running Riot

3. Egatrice

4. Babbington

5. Justsay Sumthink

 

Barrier one will help Dollops for two reasons, make it easier to get the distance, and its the only position you can be in to win off the speed with the rail out 7m. Look for her late to steam through them. Running Riot will take advantage of the inside barrier and be hard to toss. Egatrice too will shoot forward. Babbington may not get the heavy conditions but still should be considered, and Justsay Sumthink has had a nice freshen and isn't weighted completely out of it.

 

Race 6 :

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1. Field Hunter

2. Tolka Rock

3. Bonindi

4. Jennings

 

Pretty average performance last start from Field Hunter, cautious words before the race suggest it might be tip top for this, wasn't fully tested last start so shouldn't have been knocked around a whole lot leading into this. Has a distinct class edge and Ollie to ride. Tolka Rock will go foward and probably sit outside the leader. Only thing stopping him being a great bet in this is his performances here have been ok only for him. Still has advantages and will be there. Bonindi is going well and must go in from that draw. Jennings too drawn well should take advantage of that.

 

 

Race 7:

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1. Ballerina Girl

2. Mr Paparazzi

3. Bel Shoes

4. Beltrois

5. Cascabel

 

Predicting that Williams will take this to the lead or sit outside and from there should set us up for a good investment. By this time jockeys, punters etc. will have worked yet again you need to be leading or behind the leaders to win on this track (rail out 7m). Hopefully that might get a few off thinking this horse will be ridden back from its widish barrier (could come into six with the scratchings), given in the formguide last start it reads 13th at the 400m. Williams will know he can't win this from the back, he is very respectful of track trends. There's not that much speed in the race, and horses drawn his inside will only be trying to hold positions, bar perhaps Cascabel. Her danger on ability is Beltrois but he has drawn wide and performs best off the speed, so he is very vulnerable. This horse has the strength to run a strong 1200m, he has driven this horse foward in the past with success, expecting him to do it again and have an investment that will be very hard to beat for us.

 

Race 8:

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1. Commanding Hope

2. In The Shadows

3. Guild

 

Winner definitely in these three. Commanding Hope trialled well enough, has raced well fresh in the past apart from its last first up run from a spell. The key to this horse might be the softer tracks these days. On the speed map from 3, shouldn't be to far away with Ollie on. I think he will win the last. In The Shadows next best. Racing terrific. Shouldn't be a heap away as well, and will go close. Guild will try and lead. Not flash out of the gates, and will probably have to work a touch for it. This will be its grand final though (despite it being first up) and will give a really good sight.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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